Just Try Something

What will it take to get the economy moving again?  If you don’t know, relax – no one does, even at the highest levels of power and policy making.  Wait … that’s more of a reason to panic than to relax, isn’t it?

That’s not to say that the Federal Reserve isn’t trying, and their heroic efforts deserve praise.  But if you want to know how strange everything has gotten look no further than the simple fact that the Fed is far more interested in deficit spending and “stimulus” than the government itself.  That’s completely backwards from what we have seen historically.  Here’s a quick guide to the problem and what the Fed is trying to do to fix it.

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Come the Dawn

You wake up in the middle of the night for no apparent reason.  There are simply too many things going through your mind to be able to sleep through the quiet hours of the night.  A trip to the kitchen and a few moments staring out the window at a dark and peaceful world aren’t quite enough.  The stillness envelopes you and your world as a threat, not a moment of peace warm in bed.

Nothing really changes at that time of night – it’s always up to the next morning to make something happen.  Welcome to a new kind of Morning in America, the day after a sleepless night.

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American Jobs Act

President Obama says of his “American Jobs Act” that “There should be nothing controversial about this piece of legislation.  Everything in here is the kind of proposal that’s been supported by both Democrats and Republicans.”  That seems like a very fair statement on the face of it.  There’s nothing about this package that is particularly new or bold in any way at all – it represents a minimal effort to create jobs.

The latest proposal is almost certainly what Obama thought he could get passed more than what the economy really needs.  Let’s see if even that is possible before we get too excited.

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Opportunity Cost

You can’t have your cake and eat it, too.  It’s a silly old saying with a huge dollop of folk wisdom hidden in the middle of it.  But money spent is sometimes more than just money gone – in an integrated world it’s a choice to make one connection when another one might have been a better choice.

Rather than just measure how much money is going in and out, it might be better to understand what we could buy with the same money.  The technical term for this is “Opportunity Cost”, or what we give up by making the choices we do.

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Ben Bernanke

The economy, as a great big thing, is mysterious.  The lives of millions of people connect into one big system that has its own ways apart from any one of them.  But there are people who have positions of power and influence, those whose job it is to keep it all keepin’ on.

Chief among them is the Chief, Ben Bernanke.  Who is this guy?

More people every day are asking that question.  The press, for its part, gave his introduction a long time ago – and rarely go back over the same ground.  That’s a shame because now we have a track record to examine.

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