Jesse Checks

On Monday, Mark Dayton officially became Minnesota’s Governor.  He joins many new governors around the US who started this week with their swearing-in and are likely to end it with a swearing-at.  The job isn’t easy with the river of red ink confronting nearly every state, and we are no exception.  The size of the gap for the next two year cycle (2012-2013) is 6.2B$, which is to say about 16% of the total General Fund Budget for the same time period.

The festivities surrounding the new Governor’s official acceptance of this responsibility are probably the last time we’ll have a chance to reflect back on what might have been before every politician in the state rolls up their sleeves and gets to swinging their fists … er, gets to work.  It’s as good of a time as any to remember that 12 years ago we started handing out what would be known as “Jesse Checks”, the sales tax rebate that totaled $2.6B over a three year period.

What would the Legislature do with that money now?

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Leaked or Planted?

The latest batch of official US documents released by wikileaks caused a tremendous storm with two immediate reactions.  The first was a nearly hour by hour revelation as to what was in this batch as reporters combed through the piles of information looking for newsworthy (or simply salacious) details.  The second reaction came as a character assassination (and call for a bloody assassination) of Julian Assange as a “terrorist”.

The first wave of revelation is understandable, but neither of these reactions tells us much about what is really happening here.  That requires time.

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National Wellbeing

Can government improve our happiness?  Can it at least measure how happy the people of a nation are and work toward improving it?  The idea is being implemented, but not as some strange leftist diversion.  The Prime Minister of the UK, David Cameron, has been interested in the idea since he first ran for the leadership of the Tory (Conservative) Party in 2005 and has elaborated on it several times.  Now that he is the leader of Britain he has charged the Office of National Statistics to formulate the questions necessary to judge just how happy the British people are.

The “Wellbeing Project” is expected to report by 2012.  The debate on the project’s importance has, naturally, already started.

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Stated Risk

What will it take to get the economy moving again?  Two years after everything simply stopped long enough to watch Lehman fall momentum is still against us.  When credit markets stop they are very hard to start back up again for a large number of reasons – the most important is the one at the heart of any free market, risk.

Interest rates near zero and a Federal Reserve pumping all the cash they can into the economy may seem enticing, but when banks can’t get any kind of interest on the loans they write they become very nervous about the risk inherent in any loan.  Is it really worth loaning out billions of dollars if you’re not sure you’ll be paid back?  So the usual mechanism to crank up the speed of the economy, cheap money, simply doesn’t work.

Perhaps there is a role for government – specifically state government.

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Making Stuff

If’ you pay any attention to the things you are buying this holiday season, you’ve probably noticed that very little of it is made in the USofA.  That’s been true for an extremely long time – for many of us, our entire lives.  We simply don’t make much stuff in this country anymore.

We don’t have to speculate as to what that means over the long term because we have been living the long term.  We have run a net deficit against the rest of the world almost continuously for 30 years. Some have speculated that this is a good thing, as the rest of the world can make products cheaper than we can – why not run through their resources rather than our own?  The Depression that we are in, this Managed Depression, explains just how wrong that is.

But if you want some data to show the problem there is plenty.

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